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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Stoke

Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Millwall 1-1 Stoke City

Millwall are the draw specialists in the Championship, and we would not be surprised to see another stalemate at The Den on Saturday. The Lions are more likely to finish higher than their forthcoming opponents this season, but there is little to split these sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
46.08% (-0.211 -0.21) 27.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.27% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.33% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (0.027000000000001 0.03)80% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)25.91% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.121 -0.12)60.91% (0.121 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.186 0.19)38.81% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.176 0.18)75.54% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.08%
    Stoke City 26.27%
    Draw 27.64%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
65.6%
Draw
29.5%
Stoke City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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