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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Stoke

Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
46.08% (-0.211 -0.21)27.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.27% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.33% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (0.027000000000001 0.03)80% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)25.91% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.121 -0.12)60.91% (0.121 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.186 0.19)38.81% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.176 0.18)75.54% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.08%
    Stoke City 26.27%
    Draw 27.64%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
65.6%
Draw
29.5%
Stoke City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm