Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.