Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Dean Court

Bournemouth
0 - 3
Arsenal

Zemura (27'), Smith (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Odegaard (5', 11'), Saliba (54')
Jesus (52')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Nottingham Forest	2	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	-2	3
12	Liverpool	2	0	2

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	2	6	6
2	Arsenal	2	4	6
3	Brentford	2	4	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Arsenal
22.86% ( -0.41)	23.34% ( -0.28)	53.8% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24% (

0.78)

45.76% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92% (

0.74)

68.08% (

-0.73)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

0.06)

34.15% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

0.06)

70.84% (

-0.06)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.54)

16.94% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

0.94)

47.01% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 22.86%

Arsenal 53.8%

Draw 23.34%

Bournemouth	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.86%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.8%