Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan Zemura 27' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 60' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Odegaard 5'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 11'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 52'
  • goal William Saliba 54'

Bournemouth vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Man City 4 - 0 Bournemouth
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Philip Billing

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Arsenal 4 - 2 Leicester
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Bournemouth 22.86% (-0.42)
Draw 23.34% (-0.29)
Arsenal 53.8% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.7% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.24% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 45.76% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 31.92% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 68.08% (-0.74)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 65.85% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.15% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.84% (-0.07)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 83.06% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 16.94% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 52.99% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 47.01% (-0.95)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 22.86%
Draw 23.34%
Arsenal 53.8%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.34% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.34%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 9.8% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 9.12% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.8% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 5.4% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.57% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 2.4% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.38% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 53.8%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 27, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Harry Wilson 45' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 94' goal
  • Sam Surridge 98' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 5'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 26'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 92'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dan Gosling 35' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 53' yellowcard
  • Chris Mepham 85' yellowcard
  • Steve Cook 85' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 54'
  • yellowcard Ainsley Maitland-Niles 55'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 63'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 64'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lacazette 93'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2019 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Luiz 9' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 13'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 29'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 27, 2019 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Mesut Ozil 4' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 27' goal
  • Sokratis Papastathopoulos 36' yellowcard
  • Laurent Koscielny 47' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 59' goal
  • Lucas Torreira 69' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 78' goal
  • goal Lys Mousset 30'
  • yellowcard Joshua King 32'
  • yellowcard Charlie Daniels 77'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2018 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joshua King 45' goal
  • Nathan Ake 52' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sokratis 25'
  • goal Jefferson Lerma 30' (OG)
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 67'
Premier League
Jan 14, 2018 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dan Gosling 21' yellowcard
  • Simon Francis 31' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 70' goal
  • Jordon Ibe 75' goal
  • goal Hector Bellerin 52'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Wilshere 71'