Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 74.08% ( | 15.07% ( | 10.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.45% ( | 29.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.36% ( | 50.64% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.2% ( | 6.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.94% ( | 25.06% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( | 38.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( | 75.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 3-0 @ 8.5% ( 3-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 4-0 @ 5.71% ( 4-1 @ 5.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 5-0 @ 3.07% ( 5-1 @ 2.93% ( 4-2 @ 2.59% ( 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 6-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.27% Total : 74.08% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.07% | 1-2 @ 3.2% ( 0-1 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 1-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 10.84% |