/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Farselog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleilog.png)
-
Gabriel Jesus
23'
-
Gabriel Jesus
35'
-
Granit Xhaka
55'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
75'
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Takehiro Tomiyasu
90'
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Wesley Fofana
16'
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William Saliba
53'
(OG)
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James Maddison
74'
Arsenal vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F08%2Femile-smith-rowe.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
56.97%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
22.4%
▲
(+0.09)
Leicester City
20.63%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
54.65%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.68%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
44.32%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
33.31%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
66.69%
▲
(+0.23)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
84.67%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
15.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
55.92%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
44.08%
▲
(+0.27)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5
64.54%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
35.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
27.78%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
72.22%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Arsenal
56.97%
Draw
22.39%
Leicester City
20.63%
Arsenal
1-0
@
10.19%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.97%
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.97%
Draw
1-1
@
10.56%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.39%
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.39%
Leicester City
0-1
@
5.64%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.63%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News
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