| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
| 56.97% ( | 22.4% ( | 20.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( | 44.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( | 66.69% ( |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( | 15.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( | 44.08% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( | 35.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( | 72.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.97% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.63% |