Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Fulham

Odegaard (64'), Magalhaes (85')
White (36'), Jesus (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitrovic (56')
Palhinha (44'), Robinson (51'), Reid (70')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	3	7	9
2	Manchester City	3	6	7
3	Leeds United	3	4	7

Fulham

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Fulham
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Newcastle United	3	2	5
7	Fulham	3	1	5
8	Brentford	3	3	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Fulham
63.63% ( 0.01)	20.67% ( -0.01)	15.7% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

0.02)

44.59% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

0.02)

66.96% (

-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.66% (

0.01)

13.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.79% (

0.02)

40.21% (

-0.02)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.76% (

0.01)

41.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.23% (

0.01)

77.77% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 63.63%

Fulham 15.7%

Draw 20.67%

Arsenal	Draw	Fulham
2-0 @ 11.16% 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.63%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.67%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.75% Total : 15.7%