Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
3 - 2
Brentford

Reid (1'), Palhinha (20'), Mitrovic (90')
Palhinha (29'), Tete (31'), Mbabu (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Norgaard (44'), Toney (71')
Dasilva (56'), Mee (80')

Reaction

Fulham boss Marco Silva during the win over Brentford on August 20, 2022.

Marco Silva, Thomas Frank react as Fulham beat Brentford in thriller

Marco Silva and Thomas Frank react as Fulham prevail by a 3-2 scoreline against Brentford in a thrilling London derby at Craven Cottage.

Aug 20, 17:11

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolves 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Liverpool	2	0	2
13	Fulham	2	0	2
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2	-1	1

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 4-0 Man Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Arsenal	2	4	6
3	Brentford	2	4	4
4	Tottenham Hotspur	2	3	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Brentford
54.87% ( 0.23)	23.17% ( -0.09)	21.96% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

0.2)

46.02% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

0.19)

68.32% (

-0.19)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.16)

16.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5% (

0.28)

46.5% (

-0.28)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.03)

35.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12% (

-0.03)

71.88% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Fulham 54.87%

Brentford 21.96%

Draw 23.16%

Fulham	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 54.87%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 21.96%