Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.