Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
5 - 0
Heerenveen

Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Rangers
Wednesday, September 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	5	13	15
2	Feyenoord	5	9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	7	13

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 NEC
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	FC Twente	5	8	12
6	Heerenveen	5	5	9
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 4.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Heerenveen
86.43% ( 0.19)	8.91% ( -0.09)	4.66% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.84% (

-0.11)

21.15% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.28% (

-0.16)

39.72% (

0.16)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.76% (

3.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.66% (

0.02)

14.33% (

-0.03)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.19% (

-0.5)

46.8% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.66% (

-0.39)

82.33% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Ajax 86.42%

Heerenveen 4.66%

Draw 8.91%

Ajax	Draw	Heerenveen
3-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.51% Total : 86.42%	1-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 8.91%	1-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 4.66%