Champions League
Sep 7, 2022 5.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Edson Alvarez 17' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 32' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 33' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 80' goal

Ajax vs Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Rangers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 51.69% (+0.14)
Draw 24% (-0.01)
Rangers 24.31% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.86% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.14% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.62% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 69.38% (+0.10)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 81.77% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.23% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 50.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.26% (-0.03)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 66.37% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 33.63% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 29.72% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 70.27% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Ajax 51.68%
Draw 24%
Rangers 24.31%
Ajax
1-0 @ 10.43% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 51.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.13% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24%
Rangers
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 24.31%