Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
4 - 0
Rangers

Alvarez (17'), Berghuis (32'), Kudus (33'), Bergwijn (80')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Cambuur
Saturday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	5	13	15
2	Feyenoord	5	9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	7	13

Rangers

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Rangers
Saturday, September 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	6	24	18
2	Rangers	6	7	13
3	Aberdeen	6	6	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Rangers
51.69% ( 0.14)	24% ( -0)	24.31% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

-0.11)

47.14% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62% (

-0.1)

69.38% (

0.1)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77% (

0.01)

18.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

0.02)

49.26% (

-0.02)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37% (

-0.18)

33.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72% (

-0.19)

70.27% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Ajax 51.68%

Rangers 24.31%

Draw 24%

Ajax	Draw	Rangers
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.68%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.31%