Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.