Europa League
Oct 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Granit Xhaka 71' goal

Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
Bodo/Glimt 0 - 1 Arsenal

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 13, 2022 8.00pm
PSV 5 - 0 FC Zurich

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 50.09% (-0.01)
Draw 22.98% (+0.03)
PSV Eindhoven 26.93% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.35% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.7% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 40.29% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 37.33% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 62.67% (+0.16)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 83.72% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 16.27% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 54.18% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 45.81% (+0.11)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 27.91% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 36.46% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 63.53% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Arsenal 50.09%
Draw 22.98%
PSV Eindhoven 26.93%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.25% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 50.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.54% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.98%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.7% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 26.93%

Build-up

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