Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.