Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 1
Arsenal

FT(HT: 0-1)

Saka (35')

Reaction

Arsenal's Gabriel Magalhaes and Leeds United's Patrick Bamford pictured on October 16, 2022

Arsenal charged by FA over Gabriel Magalhaes red card incident

Arsenal are charged with failing to ensure their players acted in an orderly fashion by the FA in their 1-0 win over Leeds United.

Oct 20, 16:08

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on October 16, 2022

Mikel Arteta hails power cut delay as Arsenal edge past Leeds United

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta claims that the delay to restore the technology systems after a power cut in their 1-0 win over Leeds United was "worth it".

Oct 16, 20:28

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring their first goal with Gabriel Jesus on October 16, 2022

Arsenal beat Leeds to record best-ever start to top-flight season

Bukayo Saka scores the only goal of the game as Arsenal beat Leeds United 1-0 to secure their best-ever start to a top-flight season.

Oct 16, 15:36

General view of Leeds United's stadium Elland Road on October 2, 2021

Leeds vs. Arsenal paused due to power cut

Arsenal's Premier League clash with Leeds United has been paused due to a power cut at Elland Road.

Oct 16, 13:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Leeds
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Arsenal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Arsenal
19.41% ( 0.22)	21.93% ( 0.54)	58.65% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07% (

-2.1)

43.93% (

2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

-2.08)

66.31% (

2.09)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52% (

-0.99)

36.47% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

-1.01)

73.26% (

1.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.34% (

-0.93)

14.65% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.21% (

-1.81)

42.79% (

1.82)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 19.41%

Arsenal 58.65%

Draw 21.93%

Leeds United	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.41%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.93%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.65%