Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Bukayo Saka 35'

Leeds United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Rodrigo

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Arsenal 3 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result

Leeds United 19.41% (+0.23)
Draw 21.93% (+0.55)
Arsenal 58.65% (-0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.21% (-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.07% (-2.11)
Under 2.5 43.93% (+2.11)
Over 3.5 33.69% (-2.09)
Under 3.5 66.31% (+2.09)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 63.52% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 36.47% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 26.73% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 73.26% (+1.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 85.34% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 14.65% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 57.21% (-1.82)
Under 1.5 42.79% (+1.82)

Score analysis

Leeds United 19.41%
Draw 21.93%
Arsenal 58.65%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 5.39% (+0.35)
2-1 @ 5.22% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.72% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 5.34% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.93%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 10.26% (+0.59)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.86% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 6.36% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 6.31% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.21)
1-4 @ 3.06% (-0.22)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.13)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.16)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.13)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.65%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Eddie Nketiah 5' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 10' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 16' yellowcard
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 64' yellowcard
  • redcard Luke Ayling 27'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 27'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 34'
  • goal Diego Llorente 66'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Joe Gelhardt 53' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 56' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 75' goal
  • Robin Koch 88' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 16'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 28'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 42'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 84'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 86'
EFL Cup
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Calum Chambers 55' goal
  • Cedric Soares 59' yellowcard
  • Eddie Nketiah 69' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 23'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 13' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 41' goal
  • Hector Bellerin 45' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 47' goal
  • goal Pascal Struijk 58'
  • goal Helder Costa 69'
  • yellowcard Pascal Struijk 70'
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Nov 22, 2020 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stuart Dallas 15' yellowcard
  • Liam Cooper 86' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 90'+3' yellowcard
  • redcard Nicolas Pepe 52'
FA Cup Gameweek 3
Jan 6, 2020 7.56pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Reiss Nelson 55' goal
  • Sead Kolasinac 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 66'
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 85'

Build-up

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