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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Arsenal logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Arsenal

FT(HT: 0-1)
Saka (35')
Saliba (62'), Magalhaes (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Gabriel Jesus and Takehiro Tomiyasu both start for Arsenal in Sunday's Premier League clash with Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Leeds
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Arsenal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Leeds United 0-2 Arsenal

Leeds have proven to be a tough nut to crack at Elland Road this term and will welcome Sinisterra back to the fold with open arms, but the absence of a killer instinct is set to cost them dear against a rampant Arsenal. Arteta went stronger than expected in midweek, but a plethora of star names have still been well-rested, and the Gunners should not relinquish their grip on top spot just yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
19.41% (0.221 0.22) 21.93% (0.543 0.54) 58.65% (-0.76 -0.76)
Both teams to score 54.21% (-1.446 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-2.1 -2.1)43.93% (2.103 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-2.081 -2.08)66.31% (2.085 2.09)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (-0.989 -0.99)36.47% (0.992 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-1.014 -1.01)73.26% (1.015 1.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (-0.926 -0.93)14.65% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-1.812 -1.81)42.79% (1.815 1.82)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 19.41%
    Arsenal 58.65%
    Draw 21.93%
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.345 0.35)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.589 0.59)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.36% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-3 @ 6.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.06% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.65%

How you voted: Leeds vs Arsenal

Leeds United
14.8%
Draw
5.6%
Arsenal
79.6%
304
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 2pm
Arsenal
2-1
Leeds
Nketiah (5', 10')
Magalhaes (16'), Tomiyasu (64')
Llorente (66')
Raphinha (27'), Klich (34')
Ayling (27')
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Leeds
1-4
Arsenal
Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')
Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm
Arsenal
4-2
Leeds
Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')
Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')
Nov 22, 2020 4.30pm
Leeds
0-0
Arsenal

Dallas (15'), Cooper (86'), Phillips (90+3')

Pepe (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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