Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Everton had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.