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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Everton logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Everton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Everton had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawEverton
48.49% (-0.91 -0.91)24.72% (0.249 0.25)26.79% (0.656 0.66)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-0.576 -0.58)48.18% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.532 -0.53)70.33% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)19.91% (0.596 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (-0.98 -0.98)52.04% (0.974 0.97)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.21300000000001 0.21)32.15% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.244 0.24)68.63% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.49%
    Everton 26.79%
    Draw 24.72%
Leeds UnitedDrawEverton
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.212 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Leeds vs Everton

Leeds United
76.8%
Draw
12.1%
Everton
11.1%
297
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Everton
3-0
Leeds
Coleman (10'), Keane (23'), Gordon (78')
Iwobi (74')

James (29')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Leeds
2-2
Everton
Klich (41'), Raphinha (72')
Cooper (28'), Bamford (37')
Calvert-Lewin (30' pen.), Gray (50')
Mina (37'), Digne (68'), Coleman (77'), Doucoure (82')
Feb 3, 2021 7.30pm
Leeds
1-2
Everton
Raphinha (48')
Harrison (16'), Ayling (79')
Sigurdsson (9'), Calvert-Lewin (41')
Holgate (89'), Godfrey (90'), Olsen (90+1')
Nov 28, 2020 5.30pm
Everton
0-1
Leeds

Allan (90+2')
Raphinha (79')
Ayling (26'), Cooper (90')
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Leeds
2-0
Everton
Mowatt (57'), Wood (80')
Byram (43')
rhs 2.0


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