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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Leeds logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Leeds

Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
51.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05)25.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)23.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)51.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)73.58% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7%20.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33%52.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)36.56% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)73.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.06%
    Leeds United 23.89%
    Draw 25.04%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.06%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.89%

How you voted: Brighton vs Leeds

Brighton & Hove Albion
39.5%
Draw
31.3%
Leeds United
29.2%
195
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')