EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The New Lawn
  • Oliver Casey 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Stevenson 66' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Keeffe 77' yellowcard
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
  • goal Steven Alzate 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 61'
  • goal Evan Ferguson 90'+4'

Forest Green Rovers vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Forest Green Rovers 31.36% (+0.43)
Draw 25.11% (+0.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

56% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.65% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 47.35% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 30.43% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 69.57% (+0.53)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 71.56% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.8%
Under 1.5 64.2% (+0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 78.25% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 21.75% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 45.07% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 54.93% (+0.78)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 31.37%
Draw 25.11%
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%
Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 7.78% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.46% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.89% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 31.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 9.44% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.53%