EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 3
Brighton

Casey (64'), Stevenson (66'), O'Keeffe (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Undav (38'), Alzate (45+1'), Ferguson (90+4')
Paul van Hecke (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Forest Green Rovers and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Plymouth
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Oxford United	5	-2	4
20	Forest Green Rovers	4	-3	4
21	Cheltenham Town	5	-3	4

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Tottenham Hotspur	3	4	7
5	Brighton & Hove Albion	3	3	7
6	Newcastle United	3	2	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
31.36% ( 0.42)	25.11% ( 0.17)	43.53% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 56% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.65% (

-0.56)

47.35% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.43% (

-0.52)

69.57% (

0.52)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

28.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8%

64.2% (

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.5)

21.75% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-0.77)

54.93% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 31.37%

Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%

Draw 25.11%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.37%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.53%