EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green2 - 0Leyton Orient
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Leyton Orient.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Forest Green Rovers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Crewe Alexandra | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Barrow | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
51.73% ( 1.08) | 24.96% ( -0.31) | 23.31% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% ( 0.52) | 51.99% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% ( 0.45) | 73.73% ( -0.45) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0.65) | 20.09% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% ( 1.04) | 52.33% ( -1.04) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( -0.42) | 37.19% ( 0.42) |