EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Little (17', 50')
Bernard (6'), Bunker (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sweeney (5'), Moncur (34')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Leyton Orient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Fleetwood Town	2	0	3
10	Forest Green Rovers	2	0	3
11	Wycombe Wanderers	2	0	3

Leyton Orient

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Crewe Alexandra	2	4	6
3	Leyton Orient	2	3	6
4	Barrow	2	2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Leyton Orient
51.73% ( 1.08)	24.96% ( -0.31)	23.31% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01% (

0.52)

51.99% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

0.45)

73.73% (

-0.45)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.91% (

0.65)

20.09% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.67% (

1.04)

52.33% (

-1.04)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

-0.42)

37.19% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.42)

73.97% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 51.73%

Leyton Orient 23.31%

Draw 24.96%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.99% 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 51.73%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.31%