League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 3
Plymouth

Hendry (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Azaz (18'), Mumba (27'), Ennis (61')
Mumba (84')

Coverage of the League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Shrewsbury Town	4	0	5
17	Forest Green Rovers	3	0	4
18	Port Vale	4	-4	4

Plymouth Argyle

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlton 5-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Lincoln City	4	1	6
12	Plymouth Argyle	4	-2	6
13	Cambridge United	4	-2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
48.46% ( 3.46)	26.32% ( -0.67)	25.22% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 48.13% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.35% (

0.8)

55.65% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2% (

0.65)

76.8% (

-0.64)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

1.99)

23% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2% (

2.84)

56.8% (

-2.83)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.51% (

-1.91)

37.49% (

1.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.73% (

-1.92)

74.27% (

1.92)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 48.46%

Plymouth Argyle 25.22%

Draw 26.32%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.46%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.28) Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.22%