MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 21:34:16| >> :600:2348431:2348431:
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Peterborough United

Plymouth
0 - 2
Peterborough


Wilson (49'), Azaz (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jade-Jones (28'), Taylor (90+3')
Knight (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Peterborough United (Plymouth Argyle to win on penalties)

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out between two strong third-tier teams who will both fancy their chances of progressing to the next round. With little to separate these two sides, they may be forced to settle the tie on penalties and we feel that Plymouth may edge through in front of their home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPeterborough United
34.57% (0.411 0.41) 26.04% (0.102 0.1) 39.38% (-0.511 -0.51)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.377 -0.38)50.54% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.334 -0.33)72.46% (0.336 0.34)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.97% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.6% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)25.21% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.615 -0.62)59.95% (0.615 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.57%
    Peterborough United 39.38%
    Draw 26.04%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.153 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.57%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.38%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Peterborough

Plymouth Argyle
45.2%
Draw
23.8%
Peterborough United
31.0%
42
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Peterborough
0-4
Plymouth
Hardie (23', 33'), Jephcott (66'), Camara (84')
Joel Zibusiso Galloway (61')
Feb 23, 2021 7.30pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Plymouth
1-5
Peterborough
Edwards (90')
Sarcevic (73')
Godden (8', 90'), Dembele (11'), Cummings (48', 54')
rhs 2.0
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