EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
0 - 2
Peterborough

Wilson (49'), Azaz (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jade-Jones (28'), Taylor (90+3')
Knight (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

Last Six:

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Wycombe Wanderers	2	0	3
12	Plymouth Argyle	2	0	3
13	Barnsley	2	0	3

Peterborough United

Last Six:

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Peterborough United	2	4	6
2	Exeter City	2	4	4
3	Bolton Wanderers	2	3	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Peterborough United
34.57% ( 0.41)	26.04% ( 0.1)	39.38% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

-0.38)

50.54% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

-0.33)

72.46% (

0.34)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

0.07)

27.97% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

0.09)

63.6% (

-0.09)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-0.44)

25.21% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05% (

-0.62)

59.95% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 34.57%

Peterborough United 39.38%

Draw 26.04%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.57%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.38%