EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 1
Barnsley

Sinisterra (21'), Klich (32' pen., 56')
Drameh (67'), Hjelde (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Andersen (35')
Styles (43'), Kitching (67'), Williams (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Leeds United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

Last Six:

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Bristol Rovers	5	-1	6
16	Barnsley	5	-1	6
17	Lincoln City	5	-3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Barnsley
56.94% ( 1.6)	22.77% ( -0.53)	20.29% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

0.89)

46.37% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

0.83)

68.65% (

-0.83)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

0.87)

16.05% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58% (

1.57)

45.42% (

-1.57)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

-0.58)

36.97% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24% (

-0.58)

73.76% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 56.93%

Barnsley 20.29%

Draw 22.77%

Leeds United	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.93%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.29%