MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 21:36:20| >> :600:1067972:1067972:
Middlesbrough logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Barnsley

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-0)
Benson (90+3')
McCarthy (66'), Odour (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Barnsley

Middlesbrough are yet to set the word alight in the Championship but will be hoping for more joy in the EFL Cup against third-tier opposition this weekend. Barnsley will fancy their chances of causing an upset, but we can see the hosts coming out on top with a slender victory to open their account for the new season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
54.91% (-0.582 -0.58) 24.38% (0.283 0.28) 20.71% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.395 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (-0.75 -0.75)52.4% (0.752 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.647 -0.65)74.08% (0.652 0.65)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.504 -0.5)18.99% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)50.54% (0.852 0.85)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (-0.111 -0.11)39.99% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (-0.101 -0.1)76.64% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.89%
    Barnsley 20.71%
    Draw 24.38%
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.075 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.71%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Barnsley

Middlesbrough
Draw
Barnsley
Middlesbrough
77.1%
Draw
8.6%
Barnsley
14.3%
70
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
3-2
Middlesbrough
Andersen (7'), Bassi (16', 54')
Vita (62'), Kitching (72'), Collins (79')
Sporar (61' pen.), Kitching (90+5' og.)
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Barnsley
Howson (45+2'), Akpom (48')
Tavernier (9'), Morsy (27'), Howson (52'), McNair (61'), Saville (68'), Bettinelli (90+2')
Woodrow (89' pen.)
Styles (49'), Simoes (90+3')
Sep 15, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!