EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benson (90+3')
McCarthy (66'), Odour (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: QPR 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Rotherham United	1	0	1
20	Middlesbrough	2	-1	1
21	Norwich City	2	-1	1

Barnsley

Last Six:

Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Plymouth Argyle	2	0	3
13	Barnsley	2	0	3
14	Cambridge United	2	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Barnsley
54.91% ( -0.58)	24.38% ( 0.28)	20.71% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59% (

-0.75)

52.4% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92% (

-0.65)

74.08% (

0.65)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.5)

18.99% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.85)

50.54% (

0.85)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

-0.11)

39.99% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

-0.1)

76.64% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 54.89%

Barnsley 20.71%

Draw 24.38%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.89%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.71%