| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | West Ham United | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Southampton | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
| 39.67% ( | 27.45% ( | 32.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( | 56.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% ( | 77.49% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( | 27.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( | 63.41% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( | 68.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.66% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.87% |