Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.