Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Southampton |
| 62.46% ( | 20.37% ( | 17.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( | 62.89% ( |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( | 12.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.68% ( | 38.32% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( | 73.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.46% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.17% |