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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Wolves logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Wolves

Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Podence (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
    Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
      Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Leeds United 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

       While both managers will be satisfied with how their respective pre-seasons played out, we can see only one winner at the weekend. Without a recognised centre-forward in their squad, Wolves would take a draw if it was handed to them right now, but Leeds should have enough quality and enthusiasm to run out comfortable victors. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

      Result
      Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
      47.25% (0.22 0.22) 27.65% (0.332 0.33) 25.1% (-0.55 -0.55)
      Both teams to score 44.45% (-1.319 -1.32)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      39.65% (-1.463 -1.46)60.35% (1.464 1.46)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      19.5% (-1.12 -1.12)80.5% (1.123 1.12)
      Leeds United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.36% (-0.55300000000001 -0.55)25.64% (0.555 0.56)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.47% (-0.76 -0.76)60.53% (0.762 0.76)
      Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      59.78% (-1.318 -1.32)40.22% (1.32 1.32)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      23.15% (-1.221 -1.22)76.85% (1.222 1.22)
      Score Analysis
          Leeds United 47.25%
          Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.1%
          Draw 27.64%
      Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
      1-0 @ 14.03% (0.54 0.54)
      2-0 @ 9.55% (0.22 0.22)
      2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
      3-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
      3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
      3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
      4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Other @ 2.07%
      Total : 47.25%
      		1-1 @ 12.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
      0-0 @ 10.31% (0.554 0.55)
      2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
      Other @ 0.59%
      Total : 27.64%
      		0-1 @ 9.39% (0.179 0.18)
      1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.193 -0.19)
      0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
      1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
      0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
      2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
      Other @ 1.34%
      Total : 25.1%

      How you voted: Leeds vs Wolves

      Leeds United
      54.6%
      Draw
      21.1%
      Wolverhampton Wanderers
      24.3%
      280
      Head to Head
      Mar 18, 2022 8pm
      Wolves
      2-3
      Leeds
      Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
      Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
      Jimenez (53')
      Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
      Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
      Oct 23, 2021 3pm
      Leeds
      1-1
      Wolves
      Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
      Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
      Hee-chan (10')
      Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
      Feb 19, 2021 8pm
      Wolves
      1-0
      Leeds
      Meslier (64' og.)
      Neto (90+1')
      Oct 19, 2020 8pm
      Leeds
      0-1
      Wolves

      Ayling (15'), Phillips (61')
      Jimenez (70')
      Moutinho (66')
      Mar 7, 2018 7.45pm
      Leeds
      0-3
      Wolves

      Forshaw (23'), Hernandez (64')
      Saiss (28'), Boly (45'), Afobe (74')
      > Match Report
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Arsenal33235577265174
      2Liverpool33228375324374
      3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
      4Aston Villa34206871502166
      5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
      6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
      7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
      8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
      9Chelsea31138106152947
      10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
      11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
      12Fulham34126165054-442
      13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
      14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
      15Brentford3498175259-735
      16Everton33108153448-1430
      17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
      18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
      19Burnley3458213769-3223
      20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716
      > Premier League Full Table


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