/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
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Conor McCarthy
8'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
35'
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Eiran Cashin
47'
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Conor McCarthy
62'
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Josh Benson
64'
Derby County vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
51.89%
▲
(+1.89)
Draw
25.05%
▼
(-0.23)
Barnsley
23.06%
▼
(-1.66)
Both Teams to Score:
49.65%
▼
(-1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.43%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 2.5
52.57%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 3.5
25.77%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 3.5
74.23%
▲
(+0.47)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
79.75%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 0.5
20.25%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 1.5
47.41%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
52.59%
▼
(-0.90)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5
62.26%
▼
(-1.81)
Under 0.5
37.74%
▲
(+1.80)
Over 1.5
25.48%
▼
(-1.80)
Under 1.5
74.52%
▲
(+1.80)
Score analysis
Derby County
51.88%
Draw
25.04%
Barnsley
23.06%
Derby County
1-0
@
12.2%
▲
(+0.46)
2-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.54)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.88%
2-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.54)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.88%
Draw
1-1
@
11.89%
▼
(-0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.04%
0-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.04%
Barnsley
0-1
@
7.45%
▼
(-0.21)
1-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.06%