Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Barnsley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cambridge United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Derby County | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Plymouth Argyle | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Cambridge United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Barnsley |
51.89% ( 1.88) | 25.05% ( -0.23) | 23.06% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
