League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
Barnsley

McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Barnsley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	2	0	3
15	Derby County	2	0	3
16	Oxford United	2	0	3

Barnsley

Last Six:

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Plymouth Argyle	2	0	3
13	Barnsley	2	0	3
14	Cambridge United	2	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Barnsley
51.89% ( 1.88)	25.05% ( -0.23)	23.06% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

-0.53)

52.57% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

-0.46)

74.23% (

0.46)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

0.57)

20.25% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.41% (

0.9)

52.59% (

-0.9)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.26% (

-1.8)

37.74% (

1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48% (

-1.8)

74.52% (

1.8)

Score Analysis

Derby County 51.88%

Barnsley 23.06%

Draw 25.04%

Derby County	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.88%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.06%