/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fchalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Corey Taylor
62'
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Steven Sessegnon
73'
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Albie Morgan
76'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
51'
Charlton Athletic vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result
Charlton Athletic
33.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
26.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Derby County
40.92%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
53.51%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.15%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
50.84%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 3.5
27.27%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
72.73%
▼
(-0.26)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
70.92%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
29.08%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
35%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
65%
▼
(-0.25)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
75.46%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
24.54%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
40.98%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
59.01%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
Charlton Athletic
33.03%
Draw
26.04%
Derby County
40.91%
Charlton Athletic
1-0
@
8.81%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 33.03%
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 33.03%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
Derby County
0-1
@
10.02%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.91%
1-2 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.91%
