Coverage of the League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Charlton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
33.03% ( 0.08) | 26.05% ( -0.06) | 40.92% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
