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League One | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Oxford United

Derby
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Hourihane (80')
Hourihane (47'), Collins (55'), Mendez-Laing (82'), Davies (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Seddon (28'), Browne (51')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 30.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
30.8%24.8%44.4%
Both teams to score 56.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8%46.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51%68.49%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76%28.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05%63.95%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13%20.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43%53.57%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 30.8%
    Oxford United 44.4%
    Draw 24.79%
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.8%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.4%

How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd

Derby County
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
57.1%
7