League One Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Conor Hourihane 47' yellowcard
  • James Collins 55' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 80' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 82' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 28'
  • yellowcard Marcus Browne 51'

Derby County vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kyle Joseph

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 30.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Derby County 30.8% (+0.55)
Draw 24.8% (+0.56)
Oxford United 44.4% (-1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.79% (-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.8% (-2.25)
Under 2.5 46.2% (+2.25)
Over 3.5 31.51% (-2.16)
Under 3.5 68.49% (+2.17)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 71.76% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 28.24% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 36.05% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 63.95% (+0.98)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 79.13% (-1.40)
Under 0.5 20.87% (+1.40)
Over 1.5 46.43% (-2.24)
Under 1.5 53.57% (+2.24)

Score analysis

Derby County 30.8%
Draw 24.79%
Oxford United 44.4%
Derby County
1-0 @ 7.45% (+0.54)
2-1 @ 7.38% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.71% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.99% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 30.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 5.89% (+0.55)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 9.23% (+0.49)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.24% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.27)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.24)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.20)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.4%