EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
1 - 2
Derby

Hawkins (56')
Hewitt (10'), O'Toole (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hewitt (30' og.), Barkhuizen (69')
Wildsmith (51'), Oduroh (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Gillingham	2	-1	3
13	Mansfield Town	2	-1	3
14	Colchester United	2	-1	1

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	2	0	3
15	Derby County	2	0	3
16	Oxford United	2	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Derby County
48.94% ( -0.04)	25.91% ( 0.02)	25.15% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85% (

-0.05)

54.14% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44% (

-0.04)

75.56% (

0.04)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

-0.04)

22.15% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

-0.05)

55.54% (

0.06)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28% (

-0)

36.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

-0)

73.51% (

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 48.93%

Derby County 25.15%

Draw 25.91%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.93%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.15%