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May 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Sixfields Stadium
Northampton
0 - 1
Mansfield

Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
35.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 28.04% (-0.339 -0.34) 36.08% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.7% (1.016 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (1.246 1.25)58.38% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.967 0.97)78.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.63900000000001 0.64)31% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (0.741 0.74)67.31% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.84699999999999 0.85)30.88% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (0.979 0.98)67.17% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 35.89%
    Mansfield Town 36.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
52.8%
Draw
33.7%
Mansfield Town
13.5%
89
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')

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