MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 11:46:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Crawley Town
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Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
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Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
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Sutton United
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Northampton Town
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Mansfield Town
Northampton
0 - 1
Mansfield

Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
35.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 28.04% (-0.339 -0.34) 36.08% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.7% (1.016 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (1.246 1.25)58.38% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.967 0.97)78.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.63900000000001 0.64)31% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (0.741 0.74)67.31% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.84699999999999 0.85)30.88% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (0.979 0.98)67.17% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 35.89%
    Mansfield Town 36.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
52.8%
Draw
33.7%
Mansfield Town
13.5%
89
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Mansfield TownMansfield382012678364272
2Stockport CountyStockport371911770403068
3Wrexham381910967472067
4MK Dons392071263491467
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe3818101066541264
6BarrowBarrow371613852401261
7AFC Wimbledon3915121252411157
8Walsall381511125752556
9Crawley TownCrawley37175155453156
10Gillingham39168153645-956
11Newport CountyNewport38167155858055
12Morecambe38159145765-854
13Harrogate TownHarrogate38149154355-1251
14Tranmere RoversTranmere39155195854450
15Bradford CityBradford371311134647-150
16Accrington StanleyAccrington38148165154-350
17Notts County37146177272048
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster37137174962-1346
19Swindon TownSwindon391111176570-544
20Salford City391111175872-1444
21Grimsby Town37815144862-1439
22Colchester UnitedColchester3689194665-1933
23Forest Green RoversForest Green3889213863-2533
24Sutton UnitedSutton39612214270-2830

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