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Mansfield Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
2 - 1
Northampton

Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Despite their lengthy unbeaten streak, Saturday could have taken a lot out of Northampton. Even with Mansfield having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, we feel that the home side should capitalise on the mindset of their opponents to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
42.03%26.55%31.41%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64%53.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1%74.9%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21%59.79%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.03%
    Northampton Town 31.41%
    Draw 26.55%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Northampton Town
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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