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Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
2 - 1
Northampton

Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Despite their lengthy unbeaten streak, Saturday could have taken a lot out of Northampton. Even with Mansfield having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, we feel that the home side should capitalise on the mindset of their opponents to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
42.03%26.55%31.41%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64%53.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1%74.9%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21%59.79%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.03%
    Northampton Town 31.41%
    Draw 26.55%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Northampton Town
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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