League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Mansfield
2 - 0
Crawley

Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Crawley Town
53.47%	23.5%	23.03%

Both teams to score 54.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75%

46.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46%

68.54%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46%

47.53%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73%

34.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03%

70.96%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 53.47%

Crawley Town 23.03%

Draw 23.5%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 5.73% 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.81% Total : 53.47%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.03%