League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley

Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76
9	Tranmere Rovers	46	13	75

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
55.94%	24.76%	19.3%

Both teams to score 45.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.52%

55.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33%

76.66%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22%

19.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17%

51.83%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69%

43.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.44%

79.55%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 55.93%

Crawley Town 19.3%

Draw 24.76%

Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.09% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.93%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.3%