League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 0
Sutton

Wilson (7'), Proctor (23')
Walker (53'), Proctor (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

John (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

Sutton United

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76
9	Tranmere Rovers	46	13	75

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Sutton United
48.98%	26.49%	24.53%

Both teams to score 47.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26%

56.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31%

77.69%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86%

57.14%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29%

38.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55%

75.45%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 48.97%

Sutton United 24.53%

Draw 26.48%

Port Vale	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.97%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.52% Total : 24.53%