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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 33.36% | 25.73% | 40.91% |
| Both teams to score 54.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% | 49.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% | 71.45% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% | 28.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% | 63.86% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% | 23.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% | 58.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.36% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.91% |