Home > Football > League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
| 8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 43.66% | 27.6% | 28.73% |
| Both teams to score 47.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% | 61.71% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% | 72.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.73% |