League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 0
Newport

Milsom (45' pen.)
Bennett (47'), Bouzanis (73'), Milsom (80'), John (85'), Boldewijn (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Norman (80'), Dolan (90+4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76
9	Tranmere Rovers	46	13	75

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Newport County
40.34%	28.82%	30.84%

Both teams to score 44.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.21%

61.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.41%

81.58%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99%

30%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87%

66.12%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72%

36.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94%

73.06%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 40.34%

Newport County 30.83%

Draw 28.81%

Sutton United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 13.1% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.34%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.81%	0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.83%