Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.