League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Newport

FT(HT: 0-0)

Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Newport County
40.08%	26.65%	33.27%

Both teams to score 51.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74%

53.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19%

74.81%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87%

61.13%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88%

30.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74%

66.26%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 40.08%

Newport County 33.27%

Draw 26.64%

Swindon Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.08%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.27%