League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Spotland

Rochdale
0 - 0
Swindon

Dorsett (12')

Iandolo (55')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Swindon Town
37.06%	26.07%	36.87%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.52%

50.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6%

72.4%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36%

61.64%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43%

26.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21%

61.79%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 37.06%

Swindon Town 36.87%

Draw 26.06%

Rochdale	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.87%