Home > Football > League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Salford City | 46 | 14 | 70 |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Rochdale |
| 51.8% | 23.83% | 24.37% |
| Both teams to score 54.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% | 46.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% | 68.64% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% | 17.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.31% | 48.68% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% | 33.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.37% |