Home > Football > League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.55% ( 0.37) | 26.05% ( -0.72) | 36.4% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 2.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% ( 3.06) | 50.39% ( -3.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% ( 2.65) | 72.32% ( -2.64) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( 1.65) | 26.14% ( -1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( 2.16) | 61.22% ( -2.16) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% ( 1.67) | 26.8% ( -1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.91% ( 2.15) | 62.09% ( -2.15) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.73) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.91) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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