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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a win it was 0-1 (6.44%).
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 55% | 23.61% | 21.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% | 48.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% | 70.66% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% | 17.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% | 48.03% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.63% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.39% |