League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 2
Oldham

Proctor (10', 34'), Walker (54')
Stone (36'), Garrity (44'), Harratt (78')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Missilou (16'), Keillor-Dunn (45+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

Oldham Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38
24	Scunthorpe United	46	-61	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Oldham Athletic
62.9%	22.21%	14.89%

Both teams to score 44.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.61%

52.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92%

74.08%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88%

16.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.46%

45.54%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.9%

47.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.44%

82.56%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 62.89%

Oldham Athletic 14.89%

Draw 22.2%

Port Vale	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.79% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.82% Total : 62.89%	1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.2%	0-1 @ 5.72% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.89%