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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Port Vale |
| 47% | 25.5% | 27.5% |
| Both teams to score 52.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% | 50.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% | 72.81% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% | 21.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% | 54.82% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% | 33.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% | 69.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.36% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.5% |