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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 54.51% | 25.29% | 20.2% |
| Both teams to score 45.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% | 56.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% | 77.36% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% | 20.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% | 53.27% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% | 79.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.9% 4-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.5% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.2% |