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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
| 36.69% | 27.64% | 35.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% | 56.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% | 77.8% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% | 29.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% | 65.82% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% | 66.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.67% |