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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 36.36% | 27.33% | 36.31% |
| Both teams to score 49.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% | 55.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% | 76.83% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% | 65.35% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% | 29.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% | 65.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.35% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.3% |