Home > Football > League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
| 22 | Barrow | 46 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Oldham Athletic | 46 | -29 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Port Vale |
| 35.2% | 28.23% | 36.56% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% | 59.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% | 79.56% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% | 31.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% | 68.25% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% | 30.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% | 67.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.56% |