League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Hartlepool0 - 3Swindon
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Walsall | 46 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 30.57% | 25.96% | 43.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
