League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
0 - 3
Swindon

Ferguson (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McKirdy (40', 55'), Baudry (85')
Iandolo (36')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Walsall	46	-13	54
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Swindon Town
30.57%	25.96%	43.48%

Both teams to score 52.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.73%

51.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.9%

73.1%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05%

30.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75%

67.25%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55%

23.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54%

57.46%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 30.57%

Swindon Town 43.47%

Draw 25.95%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.57%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.47%