League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Hoskins (6'), Zimba (61')
Mills (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Liddle (14'), Bogle (82'), Featherstone (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Walsall	46	-13	54
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
48.41%	26.51%	25.08%

Both teams to score 47.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.59%

56.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58%

77.42%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65%

23.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69%

57.31%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.97%

38.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.21%

74.79%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 48.41%

Hartlepool United 25.08%

Draw 26.5%

Northampton Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.41%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.08%