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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 37.64% | 28.64% | 33.72% |
| Both teams to score 45.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% | 60.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% | 80.76% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% | 33.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% | 70.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.05% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.71% |